Procter & Gamble Company (PG)
The Procter & Gamble Company (P&G) is a leading American multinational consumer goods corporation, established in 1837 and headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio. With a diverse portfolio focused on personal health, consumer health, personal care, and hygiene products, P&G operates through key segments including Beauty, Grooming, Health Care, Fabric & Home Care, and Baby, Feminine, & Family Care. Known for its commitment to innovation and sustainability, the company has consistently delivered strong financial performance and maintains a robust global presence, making it a preferred stock for institutional investors seeking stability in the consumer staples sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 8.20% per annum.
- PG price at the close of October 23, 2025 was $152.21 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 14.83% per annum.
- PG price at the close of October 23, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 20, 2024
End date: October 23, 2025
a = 5.4663
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0252
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -8.20%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0252) – 1
= 10.60%
August 20, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y959)
= Exp(a + b × X959 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,394 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4663 + -0.0002 × 1,394 + 2 × 0.0252)
= Exp(5.1900)
= $179.47
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y959)
= Exp(a + b × X959 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,394 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4663 + -0.0002 × 1,394 – 2 × 0.0252)
= Exp(5.0892)
= $162.27
October 23, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4663 + -0.0002 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0252)
= Exp(5.0894)
= $162.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4663 + -0.0002 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0252)
= Exp(4.9887)
= $146.74
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 8.20% per annum.
- PG price at the close of October 23, 2025 was $152.21 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 21, 2025
End date: October 23, 2025
a = 5.8203
b = -0.0004
s = 0.0206
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -14.83%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0206) – 1
= 8.59%
February 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,085)
= Exp(a + b × X1,085 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,579 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8203 + -0.0004 × 1,579 + 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(5.1669)
= $175.37
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,085)
= Exp(a + b × X1,085 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,579 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8203 + -0.0004 × 1,579 – 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(5.0845)
= $161.51
October 23, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8203 + -0.0004 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(5.0596)
= $157.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8203 + -0.0004 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(4.9772)
= $145.07
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 14.83% per annum.
- PG price at the close of October 23, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.