Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 28.75% per annum.
- CURB price at the close of April 25, 2025 was $23.28 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 187.13% per annum.
- CURB price at the close of April 25, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CURB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 24, 2025
End date: April 25, 2025
a = 3.3256
b = -0.0009
s = 0.0219
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -28.75%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0219) – 1
= 9.17%
January 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y81)
= Exp(a + b × X81 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 120 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3256 + -0.0009 × 120 + 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(3.2580)
= $26.00
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y81)
= Exp(a + b × X81 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 120 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3256 + -0.0009 × 120 – 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(3.1703)
= $23.81
April 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y144)
= Exp(a + b × X144 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 211 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3256 + -0.0009 × 211 + 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(3.1735)
= $23.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y144)
= Exp(a + b × X144 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 211 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3256 + -0.0009 × 211 – 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(3.0858)
= $21.88
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 28.75% per annum.
- CURB price at the close of April 25, 2025 was $23.28 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 7, 2025
End date: April 25, 2025
a = 2.5401
b = 0.0029
s = 0.0147
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0029) – 1
= 187.13%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0147) – 1
= 6.06%
April 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y131)
= Exp(a + b × X131 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 193 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5401 + 0.0029 × 193 + 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(3.1272)
= $22.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y131)
= Exp(a + b × X131 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 193 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5401 + 0.0029 × 193 – 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(3.0684)
= $21.51
April 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y144)
= Exp(a + b × X144 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 211 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5401 + 0.0029 × 211 + 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(3.1792)
= $24.03
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y144)
= Exp(a + b × X144 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 211 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5401 + 0.0029 × 211 – 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(3.1204)
= $22.66
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 187.13% per annum.
- CURB price at the close of April 25, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.