Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 263.64% per annum.
- CURB price at the close of January 28, 2025 was $25.25 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 396.60% per annum.
- CURB price at the close of January 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CURB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 6, 2025
End date: January 28, 2025
a = 2.7659
b = 0.0035
s = 0.0138
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0035) – 1
= 263.64%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0138) – 1
= 5.68%
January 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y69)
= Exp(a + b × X69 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 102 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7659 + 0.0035 × 102 + 2 × 0.0138)
= Exp(3.1543)
= $23.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y69)
= Exp(a + b × X69 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 102 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7659 + 0.0035 × 102 – 2 × 0.0138)
= Exp(3.0990)
= $22.18
January 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y83)
= Exp(a + b × X83 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 124 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7659 + 0.0035 × 124 + 2 × 0.0138)
= Exp(3.2321)
= $25.33
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y83)
= Exp(a + b × X83 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 124 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7659 + 0.0035 × 124 – 2 × 0.0138)
= Exp(3.1769)
= $23.97
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 263.64% per annum.
- CURB price at the close of January 28, 2025 was $25.25 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 13, 2025
End date: January 28, 2025
a = 2.6650
b = 0.0044
s = 0.0151
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0044) – 1
= 396.60%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0151) – 1
= 6.22%
January 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y73)
= Exp(a + b × X73 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 109 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6650 + 0.0044 × 109 + 2 × 0.0151)
= Exp(3.1737)
= $23.90
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y73)
= Exp(a + b × X73 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 109 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6650 + 0.0044 × 109 – 2 × 0.0151)
= Exp(3.1134)
= $22.50
January 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y83)
= Exp(a + b × X83 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 124 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6650 + 0.0044 × 124 + 2 × 0.0151)
= Exp(3.2396)
= $25.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y83)
= Exp(a + b × X83 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 124 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6650 + 0.0044 × 124 – 2 × 0.0151)
= Exp(3.1793)
= $24.03
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 396.60% per annum.
- CURB price at the close of January 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.