Stock Price Trends

Whirlpool Corporation (WHR)

The Whirlpool Corporation is an American multinational manufacturer and marketer of home appliances, headquartered in Benton Charter Township, Michigan, United States.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.45% per annum.
  • WHR price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $109.68 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $8.71 (8.63%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 43.21% per annum.
  • WHR price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WHR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 17, 2021
End date: September 18, 2024

a = 5.6093

b = -0.0006

s = 0.0750

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -20.45%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0750) – 1
= 35.01%

March 17, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y331)
= Exp(a + b × X331 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 483 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6093 + -0.0006 × 483 + 2 × 0.0750)
= Exp(5.4566)
= $234.30

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y331)
= Exp(a + b × X331 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 483 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6093 + -0.0006 × 483 – 2 × 0.0750)
= Exp(5.1565)
= $173.55

September 18, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,213)
= Exp(a + b × X1,213 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,764 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6093 + -0.0006 × 1,764 + 2 × 0.0750)
= Exp(4.6536)
= $104.97

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,213)
= Exp(a + b × X1,213 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,764 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6093 + -0.0006 × 1,764 – 2 × 0.0750)
= Exp(4.3535)
= $77.75

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.45% per annum.
  • WHR price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $109.68 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $8.71 (8.63%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 25, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 2.8740

b = 0.0010

s = 0.0474

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 43.21%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0474) – 1
= 20.89%

April 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,113)
= Exp(a + b × X1,113 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,618 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8740 + 0.0010 × 1,618 + 2 × 0.0474)
= Exp(4.5609)
= $95.67

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,113)
= Exp(a + b × X1,113 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,618 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8740 + 0.0010 × 1,618 – 2 × 0.0474)
= Exp(4.3712)
= $79.14

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8740 + 0.0010 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0474)
= Exp(4.7655)
= $117.39

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8740 + 0.0010 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0474)
= Exp(4.5758)
= $97.11

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 43.21% per annum.
  • WHR price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

See Also

Symbol

Company name

HELE
Helen of Troy Ltd