Gen Digital Inc. (GEN)
Gen Digital Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions for consumers in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Japan. The company is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 39.17% per annum.
- GEN price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $29.24 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 83.03% per annum.
- GEN price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GEN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 9, 2023
End date: November 19, 2024
a = 1.6689
b = 0.0009
s = 0.0654
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 39.17%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0654) – 1
= 29.92%
March 9, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y829)
= Exp(a + b × X829 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,205 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6689 + 0.0009 × 1,205 + 2 × 0.0654)
= Exp(2.8910)
= $18.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y829)
= Exp(a + b × X829 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,205 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6689 + 0.0009 × 1,205 – 2 × 0.0654)
= Exp(2.6292)
= $13.86
November 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6689 + 0.0009 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0654)
= Exp(3.4534)
= $31.61
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6689 + 0.0009 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0654)
= Exp(3.1916)
= $24.33
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 39.17% per annum.
- GEN price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $29.24 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 2, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024
a = 0.3531
b = 0.0017
s = 0.0221
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 83.03%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0221) – 1
= 9.22%
August 2, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,717 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3531 + 0.0017 × 1,717 + 2 × 0.0221)
= Exp(3.2406)
= $25.55
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,717 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3531 + 0.0017 × 1,717 – 2 × 0.0221)
= Exp(3.1524)
= $23.39
November 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3531 + 0.0017 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0221)
= Exp(3.4211)
= $30.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3531 + 0.0017 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0221)
= Exp(3.3329)
= $28.02
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 83.03% per annum.
- GEN price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.