GE Aerospace (GE)
General Electric Company (GE) is an American multinational conglomerate incorporated in New York City and headquartered in Boston. As of 2018, the company operates through the following segments: aviation, healthcare, power, renewable energy, digital industry, additive manufacturing and venture capital and finance.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 96.36% per annum.
- GE price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $177.98 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 32.74% per annum.
- GE price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 10, 2022
End date: November 14, 2024
a = 1.9422
b = 0.0018
s = 0.0861
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 96.36%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0861) – 1
= 41.09%
June 10, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y642)
= Exp(a + b × X642 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 932 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9422 + 0.0018 × 932 + 2 × 0.0861)
= Exp(3.8372)
= $46.40
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y642)
= Exp(a + b × X642 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 932 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9422 + 0.0018 × 932 – 2 × 0.0861)
= Exp(3.4930)
= $32.88
November 14, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9422 + 0.0018 × 1,820 + 2 × 0.0861)
= Exp(5.4788)
= $239.57
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9422 + 0.0018 × 1,820 – 2 × 0.0861)
= Exp(5.1346)
= $169.80
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 96.36% per annum.
- GE price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $177.98 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 5, 2024
End date: November 20, 2024
a = 3.7989
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0370
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 32.74%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0370) – 1
= 15.94%
April 5, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,098)
= Exp(a + b × X1,098 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,597 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7989 + 0.0008 × 1,597 + 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(5.1122)
= $166.03
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,098)
= Exp(a + b × X1,098 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,597 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7989 + 0.0008 × 1,597 – 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(4.9642)
= $143.20
November 20, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7989 + 0.0008 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(5.2899)
= $198.32
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7989 + 0.0008 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(5.1419)
= $171.05
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 32.74% per annum.
- GE price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.