Belden Inc (BDC)
Belden Inc. is a signal transmission solutions company in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia-Pacific. The company is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 29.59% per annum.
- BDC price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $122.60 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $17.95 (17.16%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 161.73% per annum.
- BDC price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BDC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 20, 2024
End date: May 9, 2025
a = 6.2979
b = -0.0010
s = 0.0524
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -29.59%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0524) – 1
= 23.33%
September 20, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,054)
= Exp(a + b × X1,054 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,529 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2979 + -0.0010 × 1,529 + 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(4.9332)
= $138.82
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,054)
= Exp(a + b × X1,054 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,529 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2979 + -0.0010 × 1,529 – 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(4.7234)
= $112.56
May 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,212)
= Exp(a + b × X1,212 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,760 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2979 + -0.0010 × 1,760 + 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(4.7111)
= $111.18
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,212)
= Exp(a + b × X1,212 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,760 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2979 + -0.0010 × 1,760 – 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(4.5014)
= $90.15
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 29.59% per annum.
- BDC price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $122.60 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $17.95 (17.16%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: July 11, 2025
a = -0.0054
b = 0.0026
s = 0.0364
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0026) – 1
= 161.73%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0364) – 1
= 15.66%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,724 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0054 + 0.0026 × 1,724 + 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(4.6118)
= $100.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,724 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0054 + 0.0026 × 1,724 – 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(4.4663)
= $87.03
July 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0054 + 0.0026 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(4.8728)
= $130.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0054 + 0.0026 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0364)
= Exp(4.7273)
= $112.99
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 161.73% per annum.
- BDC price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.