Belden Inc (BDC)
Belden Inc. is a signal transmission solutions company in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia-Pacific. The company is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 38.43% per annum.
- BDC price at the close of April 2, 2025 was $104.50 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 59.16% per annum.
- BDC price at the close of April 2, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BDC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 6, 2024
End date: April 2, 2025
a = 7.0653
b = -0.0013
s = 0.0314
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -38.43%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0314) – 1
= 13.37%
November 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,156)
= Exp(a + b × X1,156 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,678 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0653 + -0.0013 × 1,678 + 2 × 0.0314)
= Exp(4.8982)
= $134.05
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,156)
= Exp(a + b × X1,156 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,678 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0653 + -0.0013 × 1,678 – 2 × 0.0314)
= Exp(4.7727)
= $118.24
April 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0653 + -0.0013 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0314)
= Exp(4.7028)
= $110.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0653 + -0.0013 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0314)
= Exp(4.5773)
= $97.26
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 38.43% per annum.
- BDC price at the close of April 2, 2025 was $104.50 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 16, 2025
End date: April 2, 2025
a = 9.0840
b = -0.0025
s = 0.0233
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0025) – 1
= -59.16%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0233) – 1
= 9.78%
January 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,203)
= Exp(a + b × X1,203 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.0840 + -0.0025 × 1,749 + 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(4.8394)
= $126.39
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,203)
= Exp(a + b × X1,203 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.0840 + -0.0025 × 1,749 – 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(4.7461)
= $115.13
April 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.0840 + -0.0025 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(4.6529)
= $104.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.0840 + -0.0025 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(4.5596)
= $95.55
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 59.16% per annum.
- BDC price at the close of April 2, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.