Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J)
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. (NYSE: J) is an American international technical professional services firm. The company provides technical, professional and construction services, as well as scientific and specialty consulting for a broad range of clients globally, including companies, organizations, and government agencies.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 103.41% per annum.
- J price at the close of September 17, 2025 was $147.30 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.80 (1.21%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 14.73% per annum.
- J price at the close of September 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of J price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: August 29, 2025
a = 1.4959
b = 0.0019
s = 0.0207
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 103.41%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0207) – 1
= 8.64%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,140)
= Exp(a + b × X1,140 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,658 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4959 + 0.0019 × 1,658 + 2 × 0.0207)
= Exp(4.7626)
= $117.06
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,140)
= Exp(a + b × X1,140 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,658 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4959 + 0.0019 × 1,658 – 2 × 0.0207)
= Exp(4.6797)
= $107.74
August 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4959 + 0.0019 × 1,806 + 2 × 0.0207)
= Exp(5.0505)
= $156.11
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4959 + 0.0019 × 1,806 – 2 × 0.0207)
= Exp(4.9677)
= $143.69
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 103.41% per annum.
- J price at the close of September 17, 2025 was $147.30 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.80 (1.21%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 6, 2025
End date: September 17, 2025
a = 5.7764
b = -0.0004
s = 0.0110
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -14.73%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0110) – 1
= 4.49%
August 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,783 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7764 + -0.0004 × 1,783 + 2 × 0.0110)
= Exp(5.0202)
= $151.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,783 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7764 + -0.0004 × 1,783 – 2 × 0.0110)
= Exp(4.9763)
= $144.93
September 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7764 + -0.0004 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0110)
= Exp(5.0018)
= $148.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7764 + -0.0004 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0110)
= Exp(4.9579)
= $142.30
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 14.73% per annum.
- J price at the close of September 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.