Stock Price Trends

Godaddy Inc (GDDY)

GoDaddy Inc. is dedicated to the design and development of cloud-based technology products in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 95.99% per annum.
  • GDDY price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $187.40 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 79.29% per annum.
  • GDDY price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GDDY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 5, 2023
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 1.8331

b = 0.0018

s = 0.0679

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 95.99%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0679) – 1
= 31.19%

May 5, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y869)
= Exp(a + b × X869 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,262 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8331 + 0.0018 × 1,262 + 2 × 0.0679)
= Exp(4.2955)
= $73.37

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y869)
= Exp(a + b × X869 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,262 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8331 + 0.0018 × 1,262 – 2 × 0.0679)
= Exp(4.0240)
= $55.92

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8331 + 0.0018 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0679)
= Exp(5.3352)
= $207.52

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8331 + 0.0018 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0679)
= Exp(5.0638)
= $158.18

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 95.99% per annum.
  • GDDY price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $187.40 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 29, 2023
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 2.2528

b = 0.0016

s = 0.0336

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0016) – 1
= 79.29%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0336) – 1
= 14.39%

November 29, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,012)
= Exp(a + b × X1,012 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,470 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2528 + 0.0016 × 1,470 + 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(4.6714)
= $106.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,012)
= Exp(a + b × X1,012 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,470 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2528 + 0.0016 × 1,470 – 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(4.5370)
= $93.41

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2528 + 0.0016 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(5.2409)
= $188.84

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2528 + 0.0016 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(5.1065)
= $165.09

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 79.29% per annum.
  • GDDY price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.