Stock Price Trends

Digital Realty Trust Inc (DLR)

Digital Realty Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that invests in carrier-neutral data centers and provides colocation and peering services.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 36.38% per annum.
  • DLR price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $185.91 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 125.94% per annum.
  • DLR price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DLR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 26, 2022
End date: November 20, 2024

a = 3.5776

b = 0.0009

s = 0.0654

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 36.38%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0654) – 1
= 29.89%

September 26, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y715)
= Exp(a + b × X715 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,040 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5776 + 0.0009 × 1,040 + 2 × 0.0654)
= Exp(4.5925)
= $98.74

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y715)
= Exp(a + b × X715 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,040 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5776 + 0.0009 × 1,040 – 2 × 0.0654)
= Exp(4.3310)
= $76.02

November 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5776 + 0.0009 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0654)
= Exp(5.2607)
= $192.61

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5776 + 0.0009 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0654)
= Exp(4.9992)
= $148.29

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 36.38% per annum.
  • DLR price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $185.91 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 5, 2024
End date: November 20, 2024

a = 1.1240

b = 0.0022

s = 0.0266

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0022) – 1
= 125.94%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0266) – 1
= 11.23%

August 5, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,719 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1240 + 0.0022 × 1,719 + 2 × 0.0266)
= Exp(5.0160)
= $150.80

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,719 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1240 + 0.0022 × 1,719 – 2 × 0.0266)
= Exp(4.9096)
= $135.58

November 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1240 + 0.0022 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0266)
= Exp(5.2549)
= $191.51

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1240 + 0.0022 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0266)
= Exp(5.1485)
= $172.18

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 125.94% per annum.
  • DLR price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

See Also

Symbol

Company name

EQIX
Equinix Inc