World Acceptance Corporation (WRLD)
World Acceptance Corporation is engaged in the small loan consumer finance business. The company is headquartered in Greenville, South Carolina.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 42.68% per annum.
- WRLD price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $126.55 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $83.94 (196.98%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.56% per annum.
- WRLD price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WRLD price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 10, 2021
End date: May 3, 2023
a = 6.0810
b = -0.0015
s = 0.2268
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0015) – 1
= -42.68%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.2268) – 1
= 147.73%
May 10, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y278)
= Exp(a + b × X278 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 404 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0810 + -0.0015 × 404 + 2 × 0.2268)
= Exp(5.9186)
= $371.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y278)
= Exp(a + b × X278 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 404 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0810 + -0.0015 × 404 – 2 × 0.2268)
= Exp(5.0114)
= $150.12
May 3, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y777)
= Exp(a + b × X777 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,127 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0810 + -0.0015 × 1,127 + 2 × 0.2268)
= Exp(4.8163)
= $123.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y777)
= Exp(a + b × X777 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,127 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0810 + -0.0015 × 1,127 – 2 × 0.2268)
= Exp(3.9091)
= $49.86
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 42.68% per annum.
- WRLD price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $126.55 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $83.94 (196.98%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: June 10, 2022
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 4.3094
b = 0.0003
s = 0.1758
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 12.56%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1758) – 1
= 102.03%
June 10, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y553)
= Exp(a + b × X553 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3094 + 0.0003 × 800 + 2 × 0.1758)
= Exp(4.9203)
= $137.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y553)
= Exp(a + b × X553 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3094 + 0.0003 × 800 – 2 × 0.1758)
= Exp(4.2171)
= $67.83
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3094 + 0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1758)
= Exp(5.2525)
= $191.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3094 + 0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1758)
= Exp(4.5492)
= $94.56
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.56% per annum.
- WRLD price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.