Sally Beauty Holdings Inc (SBH)
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. is a leading specialty retailer and distributor of professional beauty products, catering to both consumers and salon professionals. Headquartered in Denton, Texas, the company operates an extensive network of retail locations and e-commerce platforms that offer a wide range of products, including hair color, styling tools, and nail care items. With a strong commitment to quality and innovation, Sally Beauty is well-positioned to leverage trends in the beauty industry and deliver value to its customers and stakeholders. The company's strategic focus on customer engagement and product assortment ensures its competitive edge in the dynamic beauty market.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 323.07% per annum.
- SBH price at the close of November 6, 2025 was $13.76 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.61 (4.27%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 47.03% per annum.
- SBH price at the close of November 6, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SBH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 8, 2025
End date: October 31, 2025
a = -4.3738
b = 0.0040
s = 0.0824
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0040) – 1
= 323.07%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0824) – 1
= 39.04%
April 8, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,107)
= Exp(a + b × X1,107 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,611 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.3738 + 0.0040 × 1,611 + 2 × 0.0824)
= Exp(2.1572)
= $8.65
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,107)
= Exp(a + b × X1,107 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,611 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.3738 + 0.0040 × 1,611 – 2 × 0.0824)
= Exp(1.8276)
= $6.22
October 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,817 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.3738 + 0.0040 × 1,817 + 2 × 0.0824)
= Exp(2.9713)
= $19.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,817 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.3738 + 0.0040 × 1,817 – 2 × 0.0824)
= Exp(2.6417)
= $14.04
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 323.07% per annum.
- SBH price at the close of November 6, 2025 was $13.76 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.61 (4.27%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 15, 2025
End date: November 6, 2025
a = 5.8519
b = -0.0017
s = 0.0366
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0017) – 1
= -47.03%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0366) – 1
= 15.75%
September 15, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,216)
= Exp(a + b × X1,216 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,771 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8519 + -0.0017 × 1,771 + 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(2.8422)
= $17.15
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,216)
= Exp(a + b × X1,216 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,771 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8519 + -0.0017 × 1,771 – 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(2.6959)
= $14.82
November 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8519 + -0.0017 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(2.7517)
= $15.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.8519 + -0.0017 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(2.6054)
= $13.54
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 47.03% per annum.
- SBH price at the close of November 6, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.