Stock Price Trends

IAC Inc. (IAC)

IAC / InterActiveCorp is a global Internet and media company. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 46.39% per annum.
  • IAC price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $47.65 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $23.97 (101.23%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 1.39% per annum.
  • IAC price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of IAC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: December 28, 2020
End date: May 9, 2023

a = 5.9721

b = -0.0017

s = 0.1557

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0017) – 1
= -46.39%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1557) – 1
= 86.42%

December 28, 2020 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y277)
= Exp(a + b × X277 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 404 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9721 + -0.0017 × 404 + 2 × 0.1557)
= Exp(5.5934)
= $268.66

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y277)
= Exp(a + b × X277 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 404 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9721 + -0.0017 × 404 – 2 × 0.1557)
= Exp(4.9706)
= $144.11

May 9, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y871)
= Exp(a + b × X871 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,266 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9721 + -0.0017 × 1,266 + 2 × 0.1557)
= Exp(4.1211)
= $61.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y871)
= Exp(a + b × X871 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,266 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9721 + -0.0017 × 1,266 – 2 × 0.1557)
= Exp(3.4983)
= $33.06

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 46.39% per annum.
  • IAC price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $47.65 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $23.97 (101.23%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 16, 2022
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 4.0042

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0940

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= -1.39%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0940) – 1
= 45.62%

September 16, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y710)
= Exp(a + b × X710 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,031 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0042 + 0.0000 × 1,031 + 2 × 0.0940)
= Exp(4.1526)
= $63.60

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y710)
= Exp(a + b × X710 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,031 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0042 + 0.0000 × 1,031 – 2 × 0.0940)
= Exp(3.7768)
= $43.67

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0042 + 0.0000 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0940)
= Exp(4.1221)
= $61.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0042 + 0.0000 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0940)
= Exp(3.7463)
= $42.36

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 1.39% per annum.
  • IAC price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.