Stock Price Trends

Waste Management Inc (WM)

Waste Management, Inc. is an American waste management, comprehensive waste, and environmental services company in North America. Founded in 1968, the company is headquartered 800 Capitol in Houston, Texas.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.66% per annum.
  • WM price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $219.05 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.91% per annum.
  • WM price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: January 12, 2023
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 4.2255

b = 0.0006

s = 0.0511

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.66%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0511) – 1
= 22.66%

January 12, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y791)
= Exp(a + b × X791 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,149 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2255 + 0.0006 × 1,149 + 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(5.0715)
= $159.41

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y791)
= Exp(a + b × X791 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,149 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2255 + 0.0006 × 1,149 – 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(4.8672)
= $129.96

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2255 + 0.0006 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(5.5098)
= $247.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2255 + 0.0006 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0511)
= Exp(5.3055)
= $201.45

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.66% per annum.
  • WM price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $219.05 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 16, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 5.1178

b = 0.0001

s = 0.0235

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 4.91%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0235) – 1
= 9.84%

February 16, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,066)
= Exp(a + b × X1,066 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,549 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1178 + 0.0001 × 1,549 + 2 × 0.0235)
= Exp(5.3683)
= $214.49

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,066)
= Exp(a + b × X1,066 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,549 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1178 + 0.0001 × 1,549 – 2 × 0.0235)
= Exp(5.2744)
= $195.28

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1178 + 0.0001 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0235)
= Exp(5.4047)
= $222.44

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1178 + 0.0001 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0235)
= Exp(5.3108)
= $202.52

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.91% per annum.
  • WM price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.