VICI Properties Inc (VICI)
VICI Properties is an experiential real estate investment trust that owns one of the largest portfolios of market-leading gaming, hospitality and entertainment destinations, including the world-renowned Caesars Palace.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 5.87% per annum.
- VICI price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $32.62 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 71.41% per annum.
- VICI price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VICI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 1, 2021
End date: March 28, 2025
a = 3.1403
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0604
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 5.87%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0604) – 1
= 27.32%
April 1, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y252)
= Exp(a + b × X252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 365 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1403 + 0.0002 × 365 + 2 × 0.0604)
= Exp(3.3182)
= $27.61
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y252)
= Exp(a + b × X252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 365 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1403 + 0.0002 × 365 – 2 × 0.0604)
= Exp(3.0766)
= $21.68
March 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1403 + 0.0002 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0604)
= Exp(3.5460)
= $34.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1403 + 0.0002 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0604)
= Exp(3.3044)
= $27.23
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 5.87% per annum.
- VICI price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $32.62 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 18, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 0.7867
b = 0.0015
s = 0.0179
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 71.41%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0179) – 1
= 7.44%
December 18, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,722 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7867 + 0.0015 × 1,722 + 2 × 0.0179)
= Exp(3.3649)
= $28.93
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,722 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7867 + 0.0015 × 1,722 – 2 × 0.0179)
= Exp(3.2931)
= $26.93
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7867 + 0.0015 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0179)
= Exp(3.5169)
= $33.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7867 + 0.0015 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0179)
= Exp(3.4452)
= $31.35
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 71.41% per annum.
- VICI price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.