Kohls Corp (KSS)
Kohl's Corporation is a retail company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 25.58% per annum.
- KSS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $8.18 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.18 (12.65%).
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 78.29% per annum.
- KSS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KSS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 19, 2021
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 4.0976
b = -0.0008
s = 0.1918
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -25.58%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1918) – 1
= 115.38%
February 19, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y223)
= Exp(a + b × X223 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 324 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0976 + -0.0008 × 324 + 2 × 0.1918)
= Exp(4.2190)
= $67.97
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y223)
= Exp(a + b × X223 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 324 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0976 + -0.0008 × 324 – 2 × 0.1918)
= Exp(3.4518)
= $31.56
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0976 + -0.0008 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1918)
= Exp(3.0042)
= $20.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0976 + -0.0008 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1918)
= Exp(2.2369)
= $9.36
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 25.58% per annum.
- KSS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $8.18 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.18 (12.65%).
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 24, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 9.8697
b = -0.0042
s = 0.0732
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0042) – 1
= -78.29%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0732) – 1
= 34.02%
September 24, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,127)
= Exp(a + b × X1,127 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,637 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8697 + -0.0042 × 1,637 + 2 × 0.0732)
= Exp(3.1651)
= $23.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,127)
= Exp(a + b × X1,127 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,637 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8697 + -0.0042 × 1,637 – 2 × 0.0732)
= Exp(2.8723)
= $17.68
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8697 + -0.0042 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0732)
= Exp(2.3783)
= $10.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8697 + -0.0042 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0732)
= Exp(2.0855)
= $8.05
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 78.29% per annum.
- KSS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.