Knight Transportation Inc (KNX)
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc., provides truck cargo transportation services in the United States, Mexico and Canada. The company is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 4.70% per annum.
- KNX price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $56.49 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 31.11% per annum.
- KNX price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KNX price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 11, 2022
End date: November 4, 2024
a = 4.1652
b = -0.0001
s = 0.0571
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -4.70%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0571) – 1
= 25.65%
November 11, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y750)
= Exp(a + b × X750 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,087 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1652 + -0.0001 × 1,087 + 2 × 0.0571)
= Exp(4.1360)
= $62.55
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y750)
= Exp(a + b × X750 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,087 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1652 + -0.0001 × 1,087 – 2 × 0.0571)
= Exp(3.9077)
= $49.79
November 4, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,811 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1652 + -0.0001 × 1,811 + 2 × 0.0571)
= Exp(4.0406)
= $56.86
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,811 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1652 + -0.0001 × 1,811 – 2 × 0.0571)
= Exp(3.8123)
= $45.25
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 4.70% per annum.
- KNX price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $56.49 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 17, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024
a = 2.6510
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0294
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 31.11%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0294) – 1
= 12.49%
April 17, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,107)
= Exp(a + b × X1,107 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,610 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6510 + 0.0007 × 1,610 + 2 × 0.0294)
= Exp(3.9045)
= $49.63
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,107)
= Exp(a + b × X1,107 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,610 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6510 + 0.0007 × 1,610 – 2 × 0.0294)
= Exp(3.7869)
= $44.12
November 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6510 + 0.0007 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0294)
= Exp(4.0648)
= $58.25
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6510 + 0.0007 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0294)
= Exp(3.9472)
= $51.79
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 31.11% per annum.
- KNX price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.