Stock Price Trends

Corsair Gaming Inc (CRSR)

Corsair Gaming, Inc. designs, markets and distributes gaming and broadcast peripherals, components and systems in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Asia Pacific.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 59.16% per annum.
  • CRSR price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $6.59 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.08 (19.59%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 28.60% per annum.
  • CRSR price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CRSR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 11, 2023
End date: November 29, 2023

a = 5.3578

b = -0.0025

s = 0.0366

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0025) – 1
= -59.16%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0366) – 1
= 15.78%

May 11, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y662)
= Exp(a + b × X662 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 960 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3578 + -0.0025 × 960 + 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(3.0757)
= $21.66

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y662)
= Exp(a + b × X662 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 960 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3578 + -0.0025 × 960 – 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(2.9291)
= $18.71

November 29, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y801)
= Exp(a + b × X801 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,162 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3578 + -0.0025 × 1,162 + 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(2.5801)
= $13.20

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y801)
= Exp(a + b × X801 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,162 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3578 + -0.0025 × 1,162 – 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(2.4335)
= $11.40

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 59.16% per annum.
  • CRSR price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $6.59 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.08 (19.59%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 2, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 0.8749

b = 0.0007

s = 0.0470

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 28.60%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0470) – 1
= 20.67%

August 2, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y970)
= Exp(a + b × X970 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,409 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.8749 + 0.0007 × 1,409 + 2 × 0.0470)
= Exp(1.9399)
= $6.96

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y970)
= Exp(a + b × X970 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,409 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.8749 + 0.0007 × 1,409 – 2 × 0.0470)
= Exp(1.7521)
= $5.77

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,046)
= Exp(a + b × X1,046 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,518 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.8749 + 0.0007 × 1,518 + 2 × 0.0470)
= Exp(2.0151)
= $7.50

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,046)
= Exp(a + b × X1,046 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,518 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.8749 + 0.0007 × 1,518 – 2 × 0.0470)
= Exp(1.8272)
= $6.22

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 28.60% per annum.
  • CRSR price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.