Stock Price Trends

Owens & Minor Inc (OMI)

Owens & Minor, Inc. is a healthcare solutions company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 40.14% per annum.
  • OMI price at the close of May 6, 2025 was $7.71 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 28.03% per annum.
  • OMI price at the close of May 6, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of OMI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 26, 2021
End date: November 2, 2023

a = 4.4604

b = -0.0014

s = 0.1811

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0014) – 1
= -40.14%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1811) – 1
= 106.37%

May 26, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y265)
= Exp(a + b × X265 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 384 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4604 + -0.0014 × 384 + 2 × 0.1811)
= Exp(4.2828)
= $72.45

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y265)
= Exp(a + b × X265 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 384 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4604 + -0.0014 × 384 – 2 × 0.1811)
= Exp(3.5583)
= $35.10

November 2, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y879)
= Exp(a + b × X879 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,274 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4604 + -0.0014 × 1,274 + 2 × 0.1811)
= Exp(3.0317)
= $20.73

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y879)
= Exp(a + b × X879 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,274 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4604 + -0.0014 × 1,274 – 2 × 0.1811)
= Exp(2.3072)
= $10.05

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 40.14% per annum.
  • OMI price at the close of May 6, 2025 was $7.71 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: May 26, 2021
End date: January 31, 2025

a = 4.0975

b = -0.0009

s = 0.2180

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -28.03%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.2180) – 1
= 139.16%

May 26, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y265)
= Exp(a + b × X265 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 384 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0975 + -0.0009 × 384 + 2 × 0.2180)
= Exp(4.1874)
= $65.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y265)
= Exp(a + b × X265 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 384 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0975 + -0.0009 × 384 – 2 × 0.2180)
= Exp(3.3155)
= $27.53

January 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,190)
= Exp(a + b × X1,190 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,730 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0975 + -0.0009 × 1,730 + 2 × 0.2180)
= Exp(2.9743)
= $19.58

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,190)
= Exp(a + b × X1,190 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,730 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0975 + -0.0009 × 1,730 – 2 × 0.2180)
= Exp(2.1023)
= $8.18

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 28.03% per annum.
  • OMI price at the close of May 6, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.