Loews Corp (L)
Loews Corporation is an American conglomerate headquartered in New York City. The company's majority-stake holdings include CNA Financial Corporation, Diamond Offshore Drilling, Boardwalk Pipeline Partners, Loews Hotels and Altium Packaging.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 36.04% per annum.
- L price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $84.12 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.86 (4.39%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.94% per annum.
- L price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of L price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 9, 2023
End date: May 17, 2024
a = 2.9784
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0205
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 36.04%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0205) – 1
= 8.56%
March 9, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y829)
= Exp(a + b × X829 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,205 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9784 + 0.0008 × 1,205 + 2 × 0.0205)
= Exp(4.0356)
= $56.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y829)
= Exp(a + b × X829 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,205 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9784 + 0.0008 × 1,205 – 2 × 0.0205)
= Exp(3.9535)
= $52.12
May 17, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,129)
= Exp(a + b × X1,129 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,640 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9784 + 0.0008 × 1,640 + 2 × 0.0205)
= Exp(4.4024)
= $81.65
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,129)
= Exp(a + b × X1,129 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,640 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9784 + 0.0008 × 1,640 – 2 × 0.0205)
= Exp(4.3203)
= $75.21
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 36.04% per annum.
- L price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $84.12 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.86 (4.39%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 4, 2024
End date: November 7, 2024
a = 3.7833
b = 0.0003
s = 0.0205
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 12.94%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0205) – 1
= 8.53%
January 4, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,036)
= Exp(a + b × X1,036 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,506 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7833 + 0.0003 × 1,506 + 2 × 0.0205)
= Exp(4.3262)
= $75.66
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,036)
= Exp(a + b × X1,036 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,506 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7833 + 0.0003 × 1,506 – 2 × 0.0205)
= Exp(4.2443)
= $69.71
November 7, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,249)
= Exp(a + b × X1,249 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,814 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7833 + 0.0003 × 1,814 + 2 × 0.0205)
= Exp(4.4289)
= $83.84
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,249)
= Exp(a + b × X1,249 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,814 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7833 + 0.0003 × 1,814 – 2 × 0.0205)
= Exp(4.3470)
= $77.25
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.94% per annum.
- L price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.