Stock Price Trends

Danaher Corporation (DHR)

Danaher Corporation is an American globally diversified conglomerate with its headquarters in Washington, D.C.. The company designs, manufactures, and markets professional, medical, industrial, and commercial products and services. The company's 3 platforms are Life Sciences, Diagnostics, and Environmental & Applied Solutions.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 37.71% per annum.
  • DHR price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $205.00 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 22.08% per annum.
  • DHR price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DHR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 25, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025

a = 7.6898

b = -0.0013

s = 0.0390

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -37.71%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0390) – 1
= 16.87%

July 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,085)
= Exp(a + b × X1,085 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,576 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6898 + -0.0013 × 1,576 + 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(5.7236)
= $306.00

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,085)
= Exp(a + b × X1,085 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,576 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6898 + -0.0013 × 1,576 – 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(5.5677)
= $261.83

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6898 + -0.0013 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(5.4006)
= $221.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6898 + -0.0013 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(5.2447)
= $189.56

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 37.71% per annum.
  • DHR price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $205.00 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 7, 2025
End date: March 31, 2025

a = 4.3527

b = 0.0005

s = 0.0147

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 22.08%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0147) – 1
= 6.05%

February 7, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,220)
= Exp(a + b × X1,220 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,773 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3527 + 0.0005 × 1,773 + 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(5.3511)
= $210.83

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,220)
= Exp(a + b × X1,220 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,773 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3527 + 0.0005 × 1,773 – 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(5.2923)
= $198.80

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3527 + 0.0005 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(5.3795)
= $216.91

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3527 + 0.0005 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(5.3207)
= $204.53

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 22.08% per annum.
  • DHR price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.