Stock Price Trends

Sysco Corporation (SYY)

Sysco Corporation is an American multinational corporation involved in marketing and distributing food products, smallwares, kitchen equipment and tabletop items to restaurants, healthcare and educational facilities, hospitality businesses like hotels and inns, and wholesale to other companies that provide foodservice (like Aramark and Sodexo). The company is headquartered in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 0.22% per annum.
  • SYY price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $75.04 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 6.16% per annum.
  • SYY price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SYY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 19, 2021
End date: March 31, 2025

a = 4.2851

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0577

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 0.22%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0577) – 1
= 25.97%

February 19, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y223)
= Exp(a + b × X223 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 324 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2851 + 0.0000 × 324 + 2 × 0.0577)
= Exp(4.4025)
= $81.65

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y223)
= Exp(a + b × X223 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 324 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2851 + 0.0000 × 324 – 2 × 0.0577)
= Exp(4.1716)
= $64.82

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2851 + 0.0000 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0577)
= Exp(4.4115)
= $82.40

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2851 + 0.0000 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0577)
= Exp(4.1807)
= $65.41

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 0.22% per annum.
  • SYY price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $75.04 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: May 10, 2023
End date: March 31, 2025

a = 4.0387

b = 0.0002

s = 0.0495

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 6.16%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0495) – 1
= 21.89%

May 10, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y782)
= Exp(a + b × X782 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,134 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0387 + 0.0002 × 1,134 + 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(4.3233)
= $75.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y782)
= Exp(a + b × X782 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,134 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0387 + 0.0002 × 1,134 – 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(4.1253)
= $61.89

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0387 + 0.0002 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(4.4364)
= $84.47

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0387 + 0.0002 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(4.2384)
= $69.30

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 6.16% per annum.
  • SYY price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.