Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB)
Kimberly-Clark Corporation is an American multinational personal care corporation that produces mostly paper-based consumer products. The company manufactures sanitary paper products and surgical & medical instruments. Kimberly-Clark brand name products include Kleenex facial tissue, Kotex feminine hygiene products, Cottonelle, Scott and Andrex toilet paper, Wypall utility wipes, KimWipes scientific cleaning wipes and Huggies disposable diapers and baby wipes.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.39% per annum.
- KMB price at the close of April 3, 2025 was $145.22 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $4.14 (2.77%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 3.18% per annum.
- KMB price at the close of April 3, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $3.73 (2.64%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KMB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 12, 2023
End date: October 21, 2024
a = 3.8954
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0294
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.39%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0294) – 1
= 12.48%
September 12, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y864)
= Exp(a + b × X864 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8954 + 0.0006 × 1,254 + 2 × 0.0294)
= Exp(4.7588)
= $116.61
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y864)
= Exp(a + b × X864 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8954 + 0.0006 × 1,254 – 2 × 0.0294)
= Exp(4.6413)
= $103.68
October 21, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,143)
= Exp(a + b × X1,143 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,659 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8954 + 0.0006 × 1,659 + 2 × 0.0294)
= Exp(5.0187)
= $151.22
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,143)
= Exp(a + b × X1,143 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,659 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8954 + 0.0006 × 1,659 – 2 × 0.0294)
= Exp(4.9011)
= $134.44
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.39% per annum.
- KMB price at the close of April 3, 2025 was $145.22 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $4.14 (2.77%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 23, 2024
End date: February 20, 2025
a = 5.0418
b = -0.0001
s = 0.0359
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -3.18%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0359) – 1
= 15.42%
April 23, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,018)
= Exp(a + b × X1,018 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,478 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0418 + -0.0001 × 1,478 + 2 × 0.0359)
= Exp(4.9827)
= $145.87
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,018)
= Exp(a + b × X1,018 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,478 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0418 + -0.0001 × 1,478 – 2 × 0.0359)
= Exp(4.8393)
= $126.38
February 20, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0418 + -0.0001 × 1,781 + 2 × 0.0359)
= Exp(4.9559)
= $142.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0418 + -0.0001 × 1,781 – 2 × 0.0359)
= Exp(4.8125)
= $123.04
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 3.18% per annum.
- KMB price at the close of April 3, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $3.73 (2.64%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.