Honeywell International Inc (HON)
Honeywell International Inc. is an American publicly traded, multinational conglomerate headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina. It primarily operates in four areas of business: aerospace, building technologies, performance materials and technologies (PMT), and safety and productivity solutions (SPS).
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 1.53% per annum.
- HON price at the close of April 17, 2025 was $196.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 6.63% per annum.
- HON price at the close of April 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of HON price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 9, 2020
End date: May 9, 2024
a = 5.2872
b = 0.0000
s = 0.0626
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= -1.53%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0626) – 1
= 28.45%
November 9, 2020 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y142)
= Exp(a + b × X142 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 203 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2872 + 0.0000 × 203 + 2 × 0.0626)
= Exp(5.4039)
= $222.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y142)
= Exp(a + b × X142 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 203 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2872 + 0.0000 × 203 – 2 × 0.0626)
= Exp(5.1535)
= $173.03
May 9, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,021)
= Exp(a + b × X1,021 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,480 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2872 + 0.0000 × 1,480 + 2 × 0.0626)
= Exp(5.3499)
= $210.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,021)
= Exp(a + b × X1,021 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,480 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2872 + 0.0000 × 1,480 – 2 × 0.0626)
= Exp(5.0996)
= $163.95
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 1.53% per annum.
- HON price at the close of April 17, 2025 was $196.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 3, 2022
End date: April 3, 2025
a = 5.0451
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0524
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 6.63%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0524) – 1
= 23.30%
February 3, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y453)
= Exp(a + b × X453 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 654 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0451 + 0.0002 × 654 + 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(5.2648)
= $193.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y453)
= Exp(a + b × X453 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 654 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0451 + 0.0002 × 654 – 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(5.0554)
= $156.86
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0451 + 0.0002 × 1,809 + 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(5.4678)
= $236.94
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0451 + 0.0002 × 1,809 – 2 × 0.0524)
= Exp(5.2584)
= $192.17
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 6.63% per annum.
- HON price at the close of April 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.