Stock Price Trends

Accenture plc (ACN)

Accenture plc is an Irish-domiciled multinational company that provides consulting and processing services. It has been incorporated in Dublin, Ireland since 2009.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 86.97% per annum.
  • ACN price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $304.33 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 89.51% per annum.
  • ACN price at the close of March 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ACN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 4, 2025
End date: March 28, 2025

a = 15.8943

b = -0.0056

s = 0.0215

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0056) – 1
= -86.97%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0215) – 1
= 8.99%

February 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,219)
= Exp(a + b × X1,219 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,772 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.8943 + -0.0056 × 1,772 + 2 × 0.0215)
= Exp(6.0443)
= $421.70

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,219)
= Exp(a + b × X1,219 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,772 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.8943 + -0.0056 × 1,772 – 2 × 0.0215)
= Exp(5.9582)
= $386.91

March 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.8943 + -0.0056 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0215)
= Exp(5.7540)
= $315.45

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.8943 + -0.0056 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0215)
= Exp(5.6679)
= $289.42

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 86.97% per annum.
  • ACN price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $304.33 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 13, 2025
End date: March 28, 2025

a = 16.9682

b = -0.0062

s = 0.0200

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0062) – 1
= -89.51%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0200) – 1
= 8.35%

February 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,226)
= Exp(a + b × X1,226 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 + 2 × s)
= Exp(16.9682 + -0.0062 × 1,781 + 2 × 0.0200)
= Exp(6.0077)
= $406.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,226)
= Exp(a + b × X1,226 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 – 2 × s)
= Exp(16.9682 + -0.0062 × 1,781 – 2 × 0.0200)
= Exp(5.9275)
= $375.22

March 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(16.9682 + -0.0062 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0200)
= Exp(5.7421)
= $311.72

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(16.9682 + -0.0062 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0200)
= Exp(5.6619)
= $287.70

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 89.51% per annum.
  • ACN price at the close of March 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.