Stock Price Trends

Accenture plc (ACN)

Accenture plc is an Irish-domiciled multinational company that provides consulting and processing services. It has been incorporated in Dublin, Ireland since 2009.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 25.87% per annum.
  • ACN price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $281.06 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9.45% per annum.
  • ACN price at the close of July 11, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.52 (0.54%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ACN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: October 2, 2024
End date: July 11, 2025

a = 7.1860

b = -0.0008

s = 0.0602

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -25.87%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0602) – 1
= 27.21%

October 2, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,062)
= Exp(a + b × X1,062 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,541 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1860 + -0.0008 × 1,541 + 2 × 0.0602)
= Exp(6.0427)
= $421.05

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,062)
= Exp(a + b × X1,062 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,541 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1860 + -0.0008 × 1,541 – 2 × 0.0602)
= Exp(5.8021)
= $330.98

July 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1860 + -0.0008 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0602)
= Exp(5.8115)
= $334.12

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1860 + -0.0008 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0602)
= Exp(5.5708)
= $262.65

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 25.87% per annum.
  • ACN price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $281.06 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 20, 2025
End date: July 11, 2025

a = 5.2736

b = 0.0002

s = 0.0404

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 9.45%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0404) – 1
= 17.52%

March 20, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,177)
= Exp(a + b × X1,177 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,710 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2736 + 0.0002 × 1,710 + 2 × 0.0404)
= Exp(5.7774)
= $322.92

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,177)
= Exp(a + b × X1,177 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,710 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2736 + 0.0002 × 1,710 – 2 × 0.0404)
= Exp(5.6160)
= $274.79

July 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2736 + 0.0002 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0404)
= Exp(5.8054)
= $332.08

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2736 + 0.0002 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0404)
= Exp(5.6440)
= $282.58

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9.45% per annum.
  • ACN price at the close of July 11, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.52 (0.54%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.