Weyerhaeuser Company (WY)
Weyerhaeuser Company is an American timberland company which owns nearly 12,400,000 acres of timberlands in the U.S. and manages an additional 14,000,000 acres timberlands under long-term licenses in Canada. The company also manufactures wood products. Weyerhaeuser is a real estate investment trust.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.39% per annum.
- WY price at the close of June 30, 2025 was $25.69 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 24.26% per annum.
- WY price at the close of June 30, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 13, 2024
End date: June 30, 2025
a = 4.7708
b = -0.0008
s = 0.0433
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -26.39%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0433) – 1
= 18.90%
September 13, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,057)
= Exp(a + b × X1,057 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,535 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7708 + -0.0008 × 1,535 + 2 × 0.0433)
= Exp(3.5689)
= $35.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,057)
= Exp(a + b × X1,057 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,535 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7708 + -0.0008 × 1,535 – 2 × 0.0433)
= Exp(3.3957)
= $29.84
June 30, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7708 + -0.0008 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0433)
= Exp(3.3254)
= $27.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7708 + -0.0008 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0433)
= Exp(3.1523)
= $23.39
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.39% per annum.
- WY price at the close of June 30, 2025 was $25.69 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 7, 2025
End date: June 30, 2025
a = 2.1938
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0216
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 24.26%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0216) – 1
= 9.00%
April 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,197)
= Exp(a + b × X1,197 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,741 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1938 + 0.0006 × 1,741 + 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(3.2727)
= $26.38
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,197)
= Exp(a + b × X1,197 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,741 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1938 + 0.0006 × 1,741 – 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(3.1865)
= $24.20
June 30, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1938 + 0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(3.3227)
= $27.74
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1938 + 0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(3.2365)
= $25.44
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 24.26% per annum.
- WY price at the close of June 30, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.