Uniti Group Inc (UNIT)
Uniti, an internally managed real estate investment trust, is dedicated to the acquisition and construction of mission-critical communications infrastructure and is a leading provider of wireless infrastructure solutions for the communications industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 75.69% per annum.
- UNIT price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $5.04 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.88 (36.40%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 31.25% per annum.
- UNIT price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of UNIT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 1, 2023
End date: May 2, 2024
a = -0.5177
b = 0.0015
s = 0.1151
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 75.69%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1151) – 1
= 58.49%
March 1, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y733)
= Exp(a + b × X733 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,064 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5177 + 0.0015 × 1,064 + 2 × 0.1151)
= Exp(1.3554)
= $3.88
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y733)
= Exp(a + b × X733 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,064 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5177 + 0.0015 × 1,064 – 2 × 0.1151)
= Exp(0.8949)
= $2.45
May 2, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,028)
= Exp(a + b × X1,028 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,492 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5177 + 0.0015 × 1,492 + 2 × 0.1151)
= Exp(2.0163)
= $7.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,028)
= Exp(a + b × X1,028 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,492 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5177 + 0.0015 × 1,492 – 2 × 0.1151)
= Exp(1.5557)
= $4.74
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 75.69% per annum.
- UNIT price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $5.04 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.88 (36.40%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 6, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 3.5104
b = -0.0010
s = 0.0405
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -31.25%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0405) – 1
= 17.58%
November 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,158)
= Exp(a + b × X1,158 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,680 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5104 + -0.0010 × 1,680 + 2 × 0.0405)
= Exp(1.8670)
= $6.47
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,158)
= Exp(a + b × X1,158 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,680 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5104 + -0.0010 × 1,680 – 2 × 0.0405)
= Exp(1.7050)
= $5.50
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5104 + -0.0010 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0405)
= Exp(1.7181)
= $5.57
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5104 + -0.0010 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0405)
= Exp(1.5561)
= $4.74
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 31.25% per annum.
- UNIT price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.