Stock Price Trends

Solventum Corp. (SOLV)

Solventum Corporation, a healthcare company, engages in the developing, manufacturing, and commercializing a portfolio of solutions to address critical customer and patient needs. The company is headquartered in Saint Paul, Minnesota.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 107.46% per annum.
  • SOLV price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $73.80 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.47 (0.63%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 27.14% per annum.
  • SOLV price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SOLV price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 4, 2025
End date: July 7, 2025

a = 3.4217

b = 0.0020

s = 0.0289

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0020) – 1
= 107.46%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0289) – 1
= 12.24%

April 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y257)
= Exp(a + b × X257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 374 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4217 + 0.0020 × 374 + 2 × 0.0289)
= Exp(4.2272)
= $68.52

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y257)
= Exp(a + b × X257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 374 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4217 + 0.0020 × 374 – 2 × 0.0289)
= Exp(4.1117)
= $61.05

July 7, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y319)
= Exp(a + b × X319 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 468 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4217 + 0.0020 × 468 + 2 × 0.0289)
= Exp(4.4151)
= $82.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y319)
= Exp(a + b × X319 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 468 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4217 + 0.0020 × 468 – 2 × 0.0289)
= Exp(4.2997)
= $73.67

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 107.46% per annum.
  • SOLV price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $73.80 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.47 (0.63%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: May 12, 2025
End date: July 11, 2025

a = 4.0178

b = 0.0007

s = 0.0189

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 27.14%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0189) – 1
= 7.84%

May 12, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y282)
= Exp(a + b × X282 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 412 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0178 + 0.0007 × 412 + 2 × 0.0189)
= Exp(4.3266)
= $75.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y282)
= Exp(a + b × X282 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 412 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0178 + 0.0007 × 412 – 2 × 0.0189)
= Exp(4.2511)
= $70.18

July 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y323)
= Exp(a + b × X323 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 472 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0178 + 0.0007 × 472 + 2 × 0.0189)
= Exp(4.3661)
= $78.73

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y323)
= Exp(a + b × X323 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 472 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0178 + 0.0007 × 472 – 2 × 0.0189)
= Exp(4.2906)
= $73.01

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 27.14% per annum.
  • SOLV price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.