Stock Price Trends

Electronic Arts Inc (EA)

Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) is an American video game company headquartered in Redwood City, California. It is the second-largest gaming company in the Americas and Europe by revenue and market capitalization after Activision Blizzard and ahead of Take-Two Interactive, and Ubisoft as of May 2020.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 11.56% per annum.
  • EA price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $148.69 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 204.93% per annum.
  • EA price at the close of July 11, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $42.05 (22.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 15, 2022
End date: January 22, 2025

a = 4.5103

b = 0.0003

s = 0.0534

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 11.56%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0534) – 1
= 23.79%

September 15, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y548)
= Exp(a + b × X548 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 793 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5103 + 0.0003 × 793 + 2 × 0.0534)
= Exp(4.8546)
= $128.33

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y548)
= Exp(a + b × X548 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 793 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5103 + 0.0003 × 793 – 2 × 0.0534)
= Exp(4.6412)
= $103.67

January 22, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,137)
= Exp(a + b × X1,137 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,653 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5103 + 0.0003 × 1,653 + 2 × 0.0534)
= Exp(5.1124)
= $166.06

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,137)
= Exp(a + b × X1,137 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,653 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5103 + 0.0003 × 1,653 – 2 × 0.0534)
= Exp(4.8989)
= $134.15

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 11.56% per annum.
  • EA price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $148.69 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 23, 2025
End date: April 3, 2025

a = -0.2710

b = 0.0031

s = 0.0233

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0031) – 1
= 204.93%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0233) – 1
= 9.75%

January 23, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,138)
= Exp(a + b × X1,138 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,654 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2710 + 0.0031 × 1,654 + 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(4.8277)
= $124.93

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,138)
= Exp(a + b × X1,138 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,654 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2710 + 0.0031 × 1,654 – 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(4.7347)
= $113.83

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,724 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2710 + 0.0031 × 1,724 + 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(5.0416)
= $154.71

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,724 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2710 + 0.0031 × 1,724 – 2 × 0.0233)
= Exp(4.9485)
= $140.97

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 204.93% per annum.
  • EA price at the close of July 11, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $42.05 (22.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

See Also